Thursday, September 23, 2010


Three weeks in and everyone is still pretty comfortably in the black. Three of the four gamblers went 2-2 last week, but all three hits one of their bets for $99 or more so it was winners all around. Meanwhile, Hinkle is not so quietly lighting the world on fire with his picks (9-1-2 overall through three weeks).

Let's take a quick look at the summary and get to the picks!

Week 3 Results

1. Chuck: +$127.28...Good week betting, bad week for his teams (ND/Clem).
2. Hinkle: +$95...Hinkle is on fire...and he won't let you forget it.
3. Mikey: +$87...Big Thursday night last week paid off.
4. Mattare: +$52.50...Winning money, losing ground...go figure.

Overall Standings thru Week 3

1. Hinkle: +$243.50...His audition to get on Brandon Lang's site is in full swing.
2. Chuck: +$176.16...Would be up $281.16 were it not for picking Duke twice.
3. Mikey: +$167...Still moving forward between mono-induced coma naps.
4. Mattare: +$87.60...Would be in 2nd place were it not for Lane Kiffin.

Week 4 Pick Summary

Mia > Pitt, NW > CM, Nev > BYU, CSU-Idaho > 51
Chuck: Pitt > Mia, OSU > BSU, VT > BC, Ore > ASU
Mikey: Kent (ML) > FL, Okla > Cinn, SC > Aub, Bama > Ark
Mattare: OSU > BSU, NC > Rut, BC-VT <> Colo

Gamblers Breakdown


Let's sum it up...I am 9-1-2 in the first 3 weeks and still on top of the leader boards. Stupid Pitt and Tenn for blowing games they should have covered. O well. Other highlights, ND found a way to almost blow +3.5 when they should have won outright. I should have guessed this though...same story every year for the Irish. The faithful calling for a BCS run and then fall flat on their face right out of the gate and I have to worry about Mattare inflicting harm on himself every Saturday night. Let's get some more winners (all lines unless noted).

Game #1: Miami (-3) over Pitt...$22 win $20 (Line: SBG Global)

Miami will look to build on its thrashing of Florida A&M where they put up 45 points and held them scoreless. The Hurricanes are already battle tested after facing the Buckeyes in the Horseshoe week 2. Miami will big its fast defensive front to the 'Burgh and look to force the ball into the hands of Tino Sunseri. He has 3TD and 2 INT vs the Utes and UNH. Pitt gets its first big test and will struggle to match the speed and intensity of THE U.

Game #2: Northwestern (-6.5) over Central Michigan...$44 win $40

Dan Persa is leading the NCAA in completion percentage (81.6%) and Interceptions (0). He is third in QB Rating and 5th in yards per attempts. He is a smart kid with the ability to run as well averaging 4 yards per carry. Directional Michigan teams are not good. Keeping the LVC proud. NW Rolls.

Game #3: Nevada (-4) over BYU...$132 win $120

Nevada is fresh off of their raping of Cal where they put up 52 points. Nevada is averaging 51 points per game while BYU is scoring 15 per game. Even though this line smells a bit fishy, I am taking the Wolfpack until BYU proves they can score and Nevada runs into some sort of wall offensively. LOVE this game.

Game #4: Colorado State vs. Idaho (OVER 51)...$12 win $10

Idaho scores a ton of points. CSU has doubled their points every week so far which puts them at 20 for this week. They have had 3 tough games to start the year. Look for the CSU offensive to gain some momentum here at home. Both QBs have combined for 13 INTS so a few TDs should be set up on a short field by both defenses. I will take the points in a game going well into the 60's.


Thou shalt never bet on Duke:

Game #1: Pittsburgh (+4) over Miami $44 to win $40

A Thursday night home game against a mistake-prone team is just what the Wannstache needs to get back on track. Hand the ball to Dion Lewis, let John Baldwin make some plays, and let Jacory Harris make mistakes. This sounds like a recipe for a Pitt victory.

Game #2: Oregon St. (+17.5) over Boise State $99 to win $90

With all of the disrespect that has been thrown Boise's way over the past two weeks following VT's loss to JMU, I would not be surprised if the Broncos came out focused and jumped to an early lead. Not many teams leave the blue turf with a victory, and I don't think the Beavers will. James and Jaquizz Rodgers will keep this game within the 17.5 points and the Beavers will cover.

Game #3: Virginia Tech (-4) over Boston College $33 to win $30

The Hokies jumped into the win column with a second half rally against ECU as their defense finally came to life. This is not good news for Dave Shinskie, who is easily one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the entire FBS. Montel Harris may keep the Eagles in the game early, but their ineptitude at the quarterback position will ultimately cost them. Chestnut Hill can be a surprisingly tough place to win at, but the Hokies have too much speed at every position.

Game #4: Oregon (-11.5) over Arizona State $22 to win $20

If I see the story about how strong the Duck is on SportsCenter again, I might vomit. Seriously though, nobody can deny that Oregon has been one of the most impressive teams in the country thus far. Arizona State hung tight with Wisconsin in Madison last weekend, but they will be overwhelmed by Oregon's team speed. LaMichael James and Kenjon Barner form the most explosive backfield duo in the country and should contribute to an Oregon cover.


Southern Miss propelled me to a good week last week but I also deserved to get bit in the ass for picking against Temple (sorry Owls). Focusing almost exclusively on the SEC this week because it has alot of great games and I like smaller spreads, giggidy (all lines from

Game #1: Kentucky (+425) over Florida...$30 to win $127.50

Last Saturday was the first Florida game I watched this season and it seemed pretty obvious that they're missing Tim Tebow A LOT. The spread on this game is 2 touchdowns but it's time to make something happen so I'm taking the Cats straight up over a Gators team that is still figuring it out. Meow bitch.

Game #2: Oklahoma (-14) over Cincinnati...$55 to win $50

I'm pretty sure nobody's been able to gauge just how good Oklahoma is with their 1 great performance and 2 poor ones. They made Florida St. look like Appalachian St. (suck it Michigan) but also let Utah St. and Air Force hang around for 4 quarters to the extent that they almost pulled off incredible upsets in Norman. The have to be desperate to offer proof of their dominance and Cincinnati, although greatly down from last year, as a major conference opponent would be a nice addition to OU's out of conference resume. The Sooners step away from the pressure of their home crowd this weekend and relax on the road for a blowout win in Cincy.

Game #3: South Carolina (+3) over Auburn...$55 to win $50

"What I've been telling everyone that loves Carolina football is that we are going to put a team out there that, number one, is in good shape. We're going to be fit, we are going to be able to play the whole game and we're not going to poop out." -Steve Spurrier. The Cocks won't poop out this week, sorry Auburn.

Game #4: Alabama (-7) over Arkansas...$33 to win $30

I know Arkansas is a good team with a pro QB but have you seen Alabama play??? This is their first real road test (sorry Duke) and their first conference game so motivation isn't an issue for The Tide this week. Mallet's good and may keep Arkansas hanging around for a few quarters but Alabama's D, along with Ingram and Richardson running, will win out in the end and lead to a pull away victory.


The only thing I feel the need to recap from last week is the fact that Lane Kiffin is a colossal jackass. THREE TIMES he went for two-points after a touchdown for no reason other than the fact the he's a smug, arrogant, conniving douche bag. His defense allowed a touchdown in garbage time which meant the Trojans won by 11, giving Minnesota a sickening backdoor cover (spread was 11.5) and enacting an $84 swing to the negative for my wallet.

My dad chastised me for betting on Southern Cal and said I got what I deserved. I concede that point, but it was still a great bet if Kiffin wasn't such an idiot. As if I needed another reason to hate him...

On to the picks--all the lines come from

Game #1: Oregon State (+17.5) over Boise State...$44 to win $40

Raise your hand if you did a serious double-take when you saw this line. Vegas is showing no respect whatsoever for the Beavers but Mike Riley's squad deserves plenty. In the last two years they've covered 6 of the 7 games where they were road underdogs (4-0 last year), they took TCU to the wire in the opening week, and it's been two years since they've had more than a 10 point loss. Boise is tough at home and I think they get the W, but it's going to be along the lines of 31-21--not a blowout.

Game #2: North Carolina (-2) over Rutgers...$27.50 for $25

Let me let you in on a little secret: Rutgers isn't good. North Carolina has shown a lot of fight in their two games that they've played short-handed against tough opponents (Ga Tech and LSU). Butch Davis is going to make Tom Savage beat them and he's just not capable at this stage in his career. The Heels stomped the Scarlet Knights in Rutgers Stadium in '08 and it wouldn't surprise me if it happened again this weekend.

Game #3: Boston College-Va Tech (Under 48)...$27.50 for $25

Boston College has a great defense and an abomination of an offense. I think the Eagles can slow down the Hokies, but the David Shinskie Experience won't allow them to take advantage of the opportunity.

Game #4: Oklahoma (-14) over Cincinnati...$27.50 for $25

Nippert Stadium has been good to the Bearcats the past five years, but unfortunately for them this game will be played at Paul Brown Stadium. A 1-2 start has Cincinnati players and fans alike wondering whether they're doomed to once again descend to the depths of college football now that Brian Kelly has left town. Which Oklahoma team shows up: the one that thrashed Florida State or the one that eeked out wins over two team from non-qualifying conferences? The hunch here is that they'll remind the Bearcats who's at the top of the food chain this weekend.

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